Measured brand/product
ChatGPT
This is a measured brand or product, not an issuer-company dossier. Hedgebook shows the public metric the contract actually observes.
- Entity
- Measured brand/product
- S&P 500
- Not used as an eligibility gate
Measured entity anatomy
A brand or product is a bundle of measured lines.
Hedgebook starts with the measured entity, separates its operating lines, then shows which lines have a matching contract.
Company-line edition · definitions frozen Sep 1, 2026 · market quotes captured Sep 1, 20261operating lines1 current · 0 potential
Measured brand/productChatGPT1 measured line
ChatGPT · App downloadsmonthly · downloads · Third-party panel estimateLive and priced14 exact rungs
Observed periodSeptember 2026
Measurement basisThird-party estimateThird-party panel estimate via Carbon Arc
DeterminationLatest listed close under the captured Kalshi rules · Oct 8, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Mapped directly from the dated frozen Kalshi company-KPI snapshot.
Live and priced
Carbon Arc observes app downloads for September 2026. Open a rung to inspect that exact contract and its limitations.
Market quotes captured Sep 1, 2026ThresholdYes askNo ask
Above10186¢54¢
Above10576¢61¢
Above10772¢67¢
Above10968¢71¢
Above11162¢74¢
Above11359¢81¢
Above11553¢81¢
Above11750¢86¢
Above12143¢91¢
Observed periodAugust 2026
Measurement basisThird-party estimateThird-party panel estimate via Carbon Arc
DeterminationLatest listed close under the captured Kalshi rules · Sep 7, 2026, 2:29 AM UTC
Mapped directly from the dated frozen Kalshi company-KPI snapshot.