Measured brand/product
Claude by Anthropic
This is a measured brand or product, not an issuer-company dossier. Hedgebook shows the public metric the contract actually observes.
- Entity
- Measured brand/product
- S&P 500
- Not used as an eligibility gate
Measured entity anatomy
A brand or product is a bundle of measured lines.
Hedgebook starts with the measured entity, separates its operating lines, then shows which lines have a matching contract.
Company-line edition · definitions frozen Sep 1, 2026 · market quotes captured Sep 1, 20261operating lines1 current · 0 potential
Measured brand/productClaude by Anthropic1 measured line
Claude by Anthropic · App downloadsmonthly · downloads · Third-party panel estimateLive and priced19 exact rungs
Observed periodSeptember 2026
Measurement basisThird-party estimateThird-party panel estimate via Carbon Arc
DeterminationLatest listed close under the captured Kalshi rules · Oct 8, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Mapped directly from the dated frozen Kalshi company-KPI snapshot.
Live and priced
Carbon Arc observes app downloads for September 2026. Open a rung to inspect that exact contract and its limitations.
Market quotes captured Sep 1, 2026ThresholdYes askNo ask
Above1,30090¢40¢
Above1,40085¢42¢
Above1,45075¢50¢
Above1,50070¢53¢
Above1,55064¢65¢
Above1,60060¢70¢
Above1,65060¢70¢
Above1,70050¢79¢
Above1,80050¢79¢
Observed periodAugust 2026
Measurement basisThird-party estimateThird-party panel estimate via Carbon Arc
DeterminationLatest listed close under the captured Kalshi rules · Sep 7, 2026, 2:29 AM UTC
Mapped directly from the dated frozen Kalshi company-KPI snapshot.
Live and priced
Carbon Arc observes app downloads for August 2026. Open a rung to inspect that exact contract and its limitations.
Market quotes captured Sep 1, 2026ThresholdYes askNo ask
Above1,450100¢90¢
Above1,500100¢87¢
Above1,550100¢97¢
Above1,60082¢86¢
Above1,8008¢98¢
Above2,0003¢100¢
Above2,2002¢100¢
Above2,4002¢100¢
Above2,6002¢100¢
Above2,8003¢100¢