McDonald's

Company anatomy

A company is a bundle of lines.

Hedgebook starts with the measured entity, separates its operating lines, then shows which lines have a matching contract.

Company-line edition · definitions frozen Sep 1, 2026 · market quotes captured Sep 1, 2026

4operating lines4 current · 0 potential

MCDMcDonald's4 operating lines

Global comparable sales growthmixed · % · Issuer-reported measureLive and priced16 exact rungs

Observed periodQ3 2026

Measurement basisIssuer reportedIssuer-reported result via Fiscal.ai

DeterminationLatest listed close under the captured Kalshi rules · Mar 4, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC

Mapped directly from the dated frozen Kalshi company-KPI snapshot.

Live and priced

McDonald's reports global comparable sales growth for Q3 2026. Open a rung to inspect that exact contract and its limitations.

Market quotes captured Sep 1, 2026

ThresholdYes askNo ask

Above1.5%98¢24¢

Above2%54¢55¢

Above2.5%41¢67¢

Above3%99¢68¢

Above3.5%21¢82¢

Above4%15¢90¢

Above4.5%10¢98¢

Above5%9¢93¢

Metric source Market rulesFrozen Kalshi settlement-source metadata · Sep 1, 2026

Observed periodFiscal 2026

Measurement basisIssuer reportedIssuer-reported result via Fiscal.ai

DeterminationLatest listed close under the captured Kalshi rules · Apr 27, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC

Mapped directly from the dated frozen Kalshi company-KPI snapshot.

Live and priced

McDonald's reports global comparable sales growth for Fiscal 2026. Open a rung to inspect that exact contract and its limitations.

Market quotes captured Sep 1, 2026

ThresholdYes askNo ask

Above1.5%84¢25¢

Above2%56¢50¢

Above2.5%50¢59¢

Above3%40¢67¢

Above3.5%25¢84¢

Above4%14¢95¢

Above4.5%12¢97¢

Above5%7¢98¢

Metric source Market rulesFrozen Kalshi settlement-source metadata · Sep 1, 2026

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McDonald's Corporation · Credit card spend indexmonthly · index · Third-party panel estimateLive and priced9 exact rungs

Observed periodSeptember 2026

Measurement basisThird-party estimateThird-party panel estimate via Carbon Arc

DeterminationLatest listed close under the captured Kalshi rules · Oct 7, 2026, 2:29 AM UTC

Mapped directly from the dated frozen Kalshi company-KPI snapshot.

Live and priced

Carbon Arc observes credit card spend index for September 2026. Open a rung to inspect that exact contract and its limitations.

Market quotes captured Sep 1, 2026

ThresholdYes askNo ask

Above10199¢99¢

Above10399¢99¢

Above10699¢99¢

Above8899¢99¢

Above9199¢99¢

Above9399¢99¢

Above9599¢99¢

Above9799¢99¢

Above9999¢99¢

Panel source Market rulesFrozen Kalshi settlement-source metadata · Sep 1, 2026

Relate this line to my business

Open an exact rung above for contract-specific context.

McDonald's · Foot traffic indexmonthly · index · Third-party panel estimateLive and priced26 exact rungs

Observed periodSeptember 2026

Measurement basisThird-party estimateThird-party panel estimate via Carbon Arc

DeterminationLatest listed close under the captured Kalshi rules · Oct 8, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC

Mapped directly from the dated frozen Kalshi company-KPI snapshot.

Live and priced

Carbon Arc observes foot traffic index for September 2026. Open a rung to inspect that exact contract and its limitations.

Market quotes captured Sep 1, 2026

ThresholdYes askNo ask

Above10087¢28¢

Above10188¢44¢

Above10288¢40¢

Above10386¢57¢

Above10480¢67¢

Above10566¢75¢

Above10656¢80¢

Above10746¢93¢

Above10831¢95¢

Above9693¢27¢

Above9794¢32¢

Above9894¢30¢

Above9992¢37¢

Panel source Market rulesFrozen Kalshi settlement-source metadata · Sep 1, 2026

Observed periodAugust 2026

Measurement basisThird-party estimateThird-party panel estimate via Carbon Arc

DeterminationLatest listed close under the captured Kalshi rules · Sep 7, 2026, 2:29 AM UTC

Mapped directly from the dated frozen Kalshi company-KPI snapshot.

Live and priced

Carbon Arc observes foot traffic index for August 2026. Open a rung to inspect that exact contract and its limitations.

Market quotes captured Sep 1, 2026

ThresholdYes askNo ask

Above10084¢100¢

Above10180¢100¢

Above10248¢80¢

Above10373¢100¢

Above10466¢100¢

Above10520¢100¢

Above10665¢100¢

Above10789¢100¢

Above10823¢100¢

Above96100¢100¢

Above97100¢100¢

Above98100¢100¢

Above99100¢100¢

Panel source Market rulesFrozen Kalshi settlement-source metadata · Sep 1, 2026

Relate this line to my business

Open an exact rung above for contract-specific context.

Total systemwide restaurantsmixed · reported units · Issuer-reported measureLive and priced14 exact rungs

Observed periodQ3 2026

Measurement basisIssuer reportedIssuer-reported result via Fiscal.ai

DeterminationLatest listed close under the captured Kalshi rules · Mar 4, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC

Mapped directly from the dated frozen Kalshi company-KPI snapshot.

Live and priced

McDonald's reports total systemwide restaurants for Q3 2026. Open a rung to inspect that exact contract and its limitations.

Market quotes captured Sep 1, 2026

ThresholdYes askNo ask

Above46,30098¢11¢

Above46,35084¢19¢

Above46,40085¢24¢

Above46,45082¢27¢

Above46,50074¢35¢

Above46,55063¢46¢

Above46,60054¢56¢

Above46,65040¢67¢

Above46,70026¢82¢

Metric source Market rulesFrozen Kalshi settlement-source metadata · Sep 1, 2026

Observed periodFiscal 2026

Measurement basisIssuer reportedIssuer-reported result via Fiscal.ai

DeterminationLatest listed close under the captured Kalshi rules · Apr 27, 2027, 5:00 AM UTC

Mapped directly from the dated frozen Kalshi company-KPI snapshot.

Live and priced

McDonald's reports total systemwide restaurants for Fiscal 2026. Open a rung to inspect that exact contract and its limitations.

Market quotes captured Sep 1, 2026

ThresholdYes askNo ask

Above46,80099¢5¢

Above47,00092¢16¢

Above47,20088¢14¢

Above47,40065¢43¢

Above47,60035¢74¢

Metric source Market rulesFrozen Kalshi settlement-source metadata · Sep 1, 2026

Relate this line to my business

Open an exact rung above for contract-specific context.