Hedgebook
Edition 2026.08.25
KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01-BOA5.5%5¢ / 6¢KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01-CITI58.5%22¢ / 95¢KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01-JPM21.5%19¢ / 24¢KXKRAKENBANKPUBLIC-27JAN01-MS7%6¢ / 8¢KXNATGASD-26AUG2617-T348.5%0¢ / 97¢KXNATGASMON-26AUG3117-T2.9999%8¢ / 10¢KXNGASMAX-26DEC31-P7.0021.5%17¢ / 26¢KXTARIFFRATEPRC-27JAN01-1057.5%53¢ / 62¢KXWTI-26NOV03-T101.998.5%7¢ / 10¢KXWTIW-26AUG2814-T99.990.5%0¢ / 1¢
UAL · Industrials

United Airlines Holdings

Company anatomy

A company is a bundle of lines.

Hedgebook starts with the measured entity, separates its operating lines, then shows which lines have a matching contract.

Company-line edition · definitions frozen Sep 1, 2026 · market quotes captured Sep 1, 2026
2operating lines2 current · 0 potential
UALUnited Airlines Holdings2 operating lines
Passengers flownmixed · reported units · Issuer-reported measureLive and priced26 exact rungs
Observed periodQ3 2026
Measurement basisIssuer reportedIssuer-reported result via Fiscal.ai
DeterminationLatest listed close under the captured Kalshi rules · Feb 12, 2027, 4:00 AM UTC

Mapped directly from the dated frozen Kalshi company-KPI snapshot.

Live and priced

United Airlines Holdings reports passengers flown for Q3 2026. Open a rung to inspect that exact contract and its limitations.

Market quotes captured Sep 1, 2026
ThresholdYes askNo ask
Above47.75m100¢7¢
Above48m100¢8¢
Above48.25m99¢9¢
Above48.5m99¢11¢
Above48.75m96¢14¢
Above49m93¢17¢
Above49.25m90¢20¢
Above49.5m85¢23¢
Above49.75m78¢32¢
Above50m72¢37¢
Above50.25m60¢50¢
Above50.5m45¢65¢
Above50.75m31¢78¢
Above51m26¢84¢
Above51.25m23¢87¢
Above51.5m18¢92¢
Above51.75m13¢97¢
Above52m9¢100¢
Above52.25m8¢100¢
Metric sourceMarket rulesFrozen Kalshi settlement-source metadata · Sep 1, 2026
Observed periodFiscal 2026
Measurement basisIssuer reportedIssuer-reported result via Fiscal.ai
DeterminationLatest listed close under the captured Kalshi rules · Mar 31, 2028, 5:00 AM UTC

Mapped directly from the dated frozen Kalshi company-KPI snapshot.

Live and priced

United Airlines Holdings reports passengers flown for Fiscal 2026. Open a rung to inspect that exact contract and its limitations.

Market quotes captured Sep 1, 2026
ThresholdYes askNo ask
Above178m99¢6¢
Above180m100¢7¢
Above182m98¢10¢
Above184m91¢19¢
Above186m66¢42¢
Above188m42¢66¢
Above190m23¢87¢
Metric sourceMarket rulesFrozen Kalshi settlement-source metadata · Sep 1, 2026
Relate this line to my business
Open an exact rung above for contract-specific context.
United Airlines · Credit card spend indexmonthly · index · Third-party panel estimateLive and priced14 exact rungs
Observed periodSeptember 2026
Measurement basisThird-party estimateThird-party panel estimate via Carbon Arc
DeterminationLatest listed close under the captured Kalshi rules · Oct 7, 2026, 2:29 AM UTC

Mapped directly from the dated frozen Kalshi company-KPI snapshot.

Live and priced

Carbon Arc observes credit card spend index for September 2026. Open a rung to inspect that exact contract and its limitations.

Market quotes captured Sep 1, 2026
ThresholdYes askNo ask
Above10195¢14¢
Above10385¢24¢
Above10560¢49¢
Above10725¢84¢
Above10912¢97¢
Above1129¢99¢
Above1158¢99¢
Above9799¢8¢
Above9998¢11¢
Panel sourceMarket rulesFrozen Kalshi settlement-source metadata · Sep 1, 2026
Observed periodAugust 2026
Measurement basisThird-party estimateThird-party panel estimate via Carbon Arc
DeterminationLatest listed close under the captured Kalshi rules · Sep 7, 2026, 2:29 AM UTC

Mapped directly from the dated frozen Kalshi company-KPI snapshot.

Live and priced

Carbon Arc observes credit card spend index for August 2026. Open a rung to inspect that exact contract and its limitations.

Market quotes captured Sep 1, 2026
ThresholdYes askNo ask
Above101.5100¢27¢
Above104100¢45¢
Above106.533¢99¢
Above10916¢100¢
Above99100¢7¢
Panel sourceMarket rulesFrozen Kalshi settlement-source metadata · Sep 1, 2026
Relate this line to my business
Open an exact rung above for contract-specific context.